Accuracy
How often the network's forecasts for the next 24 hours turned out right, stream by stream. Every forecast is saved before the outcome is known and checked against the real price a day later. Misses stay in the record.
How to read these numbers
- Right about the direction
- The share of forecasts that correctly said whether the price would be higher or lower a day later.
- Average error
- How far the forecast was from the real price a day later, on average, as a percentage of that price. Lower is better.
- If the price had not moved
- The error you would get by simply assuming the price stays where it is.
- Landed in the network's range
- Neurons never agree exactly. The range is where the middle 80% of their forecasts fell. This is how often the real price ended up inside it.
Showing 61 to 66 of 86 · last 30 days
OCTA on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_OCTA
Open forecastLast 30 days · checked on 30 days · 694 forecasts
59.9%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 7.94%
- If the price had not moved
- 7.87%
Worse than assuming no change
49.7% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed43.1% right · 246 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed60.6% right · 155 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed72.7% right · 183 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed63.5% right · 170 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed64.8% right · 250 forecasts
PLS on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_PLS
Open forecastLast 30 days · checked on 30 days · 694 forecasts
57.8%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 15.28%
- If the price had not moved
- 15.64%
Better than assuming no change
45.8% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed33.7% right · 163 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed53.2% right · 171 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed60.3% right · 219 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed53.5% right · 198 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed62.1% right · 253 forecasts
PLSX on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_PLSX
Open forecastLast 30 days · checked on 30 days · 694 forecasts
17.6%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 9.04%
- If the price had not moved
- 9.48%
Better than assuming no change
77.4% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed8.6% right · 315 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed10.4% right · 211 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed24.1% right · 174 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed15.3% right · 144 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed26.2% right · 160 forecasts
POL on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_POL
Open forecastLast 30 days · checked on 30 days · 694 forecasts
59.4%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 5.40%
- If the price had not moved
- 5.78%
Better than assuming no change
45.7% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed49.5% right · 95 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed53.6% right · 110 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed56.0% right · 168 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed62.4% right · 258 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed57.9% right · 373 forecasts
PRL on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_PRL
Open forecastLast 30 days · checked on 30 days · 689 forecasts
49.1%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 10.09%
- If the price had not moved
- 9.82%
Worse than assuming no change
49.3% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed25.7% right · 183 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed35.3% right · 139 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed55.7% right · 183 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed56.7% right · 178 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed37.7% right · 316 forecasts
QMINE on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_QMINE
Open forecastLast 30 days · checked on 30 days · 694 forecasts
24.1%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 10.95%
- If the price had not moved
- 10.82%
Worse than assuming no change
73.9% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed13.7% right · 571 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed24.9% right · 269 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed55.6% right · 99 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed22.0% right · 41 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed37.5% right · 24 forecasts