Accuracy
How often the network's forecasts for the next 24 hours turned out right, stream by stream. Every forecast is saved before the outcome is known and checked against the real price a day later. Misses stay in the record.
How to read these numbers
- Right about the direction
- The share of forecasts that correctly said whether the price would be higher or lower a day later.
- Average error
- How far the forecast was from the real price a day later, on average, as a percentage of that price. Lower is better.
- If the price had not moved
- The error you would get by simply assuming the price stays where it is.
- Landed in the network's range
- Neurons never agree exactly. The range is where the middle 80% of their forecasts fell. This is how often the real price ended up inside it.
Showing 1 to 6 of 86 · all time
BitcoinBITCOIN
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 998 forecasts
52.3%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 1.23%
- If the price had not moved
- 1.23%
Same as assuming no change
56.7% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed52.1% right · 121 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed42.4% right · 144 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed48.8% right · 258 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed53.7% right · 229 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed60.6% right · 246 forecasts
EthereumETH
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 998 forecasts
52.0%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 1.66%
- If the price had not moved
- 1.63%
Worse than assuming no change
53.5% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed43.0% right · 128 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed50.0% right · 124 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed50.2% right · 253 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed53.7% right · 229 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed57.6% right · 264 forecasts
SolanaSOL
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 998 forecasts
51.2%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 2.27%
- If the price had not moved
- 2.25%
Worse than assuming no change
50.6% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed42.8% right · 138 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed48.4% right · 128 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed51.9% right · 241 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed53.4% right · 206 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed54.4% right · 285 forecasts
Binance CoinBNB
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 998 forecasts
49.8%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 1.48%
- If the price had not moved
- 1.45%
Worse than assuming no change
49.9% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed48.0% right · 150 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed52.0% right · 150 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed43.0% right · 221 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed52.2% right · 224 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed53.4% right · 253 forecasts
XRPXRP
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 998 forecasts
51.0%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 2.54%
- If the price had not moved
- 2.50%
Worse than assuming no change
49.2% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed47.2% right · 123 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed46.3% right · 121 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed48.8% right · 205 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed52.3% right · 258 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed55.0% right · 291 forecasts
TRONTRX
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 998 forecasts
52.6%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 0.60%
- If the price had not moved
- 0.57%
Worse than assuming no change
52.5% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed61.1% right · 126 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed47.0% right · 100 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed52.5% right · 202 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed52.5% right · 240 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed51.2% right · 330 forecasts