Accuracy
How often the network's forecasts for the next 24 hours turned out right, stream by stream. Every forecast is saved before the outcome is known and checked against the real price a day later. Misses stay in the record.
How to read these numbers
- Right about the direction
- The share of forecasts that correctly said whether the price would be higher or lower a day later.
- Average error
- How far the forecast was from the real price a day later, on average, as a percentage of that price. Lower is better.
- If the price had not moved
- The error you would get by simply assuming the price stays where it is.
- Landed in the network's range
- Neurons never agree exactly. The range is where the middle 80% of their forecasts fell. This is how often the real price ended up inside it.
Showing 1 to 6 of 86 · last 7 days
BitcoinBITCOIN
Open forecastLast 7 days · checked on 7 days · 142 forecasts
56.3%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 1.05%
- If the price had not moved
- 1.09%
Better than assuming no change
69.7% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed52.1% right · 121 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed42.4% right · 144 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed48.8% right · 258 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed53.7% right · 229 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed60.6% right · 246 forecasts
EthereumETH
Open forecastLast 7 days · checked on 7 days · 142 forecasts
57.7%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 1.95%
- If the price had not moved
- 1.95%
Same as assuming no change
54.9% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed43.0% right · 128 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed50.0% right · 124 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed50.2% right · 253 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed53.7% right · 229 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed57.6% right · 264 forecasts
SolanaSOL
Open forecastLast 7 days · checked on 7 days · 142 forecasts
55.6%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 2.23%
- If the price had not moved
- 2.25%
Better than assuming no change
45.1% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed42.8% right · 138 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed48.4% right · 128 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed51.9% right · 241 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed53.4% right · 206 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed54.4% right · 285 forecasts
Binance CoinBNB
Open forecastLast 7 days · checked on 7 days · 142 forecasts
50.0%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 1.20%
- If the price had not moved
- 1.21%
Better than assuming no change
43.7% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed48.0% right · 150 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed52.0% right · 150 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed43.0% right · 221 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed52.2% right · 224 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed53.4% right · 253 forecasts
XRPXRP
Open forecastLast 7 days · checked on 7 days · 142 forecasts
57.7%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 2.15%
- If the price had not moved
- 2.17%
Better than assuming no change
40.8% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed47.2% right · 123 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed46.3% right · 121 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed48.8% right · 205 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed52.3% right · 258 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed55.0% right · 291 forecasts
TRONTRX
Open forecastLast 7 days · checked on 7 days · 142 forecasts
57.7%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 0.66%
- If the price had not moved
- 0.67%
Better than assuming no change
65.5% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed61.1% right · 126 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed47.0% right · 100 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed52.5% right · 202 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed52.5% right · 240 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed51.2% right · 330 forecasts