Accuracy

How often the network's forecasts for the next 24 hours turned out right, stream by stream. Every forecast is saved before the outcome is known and checked against the real price a day later. Misses stay in the record.

How to read these numbers

Right about the direction: The share of forecasts that correctly said whether the price would be higher or lower a day later.
Average error: How far the forecast was from the real price a day later, on average, as a percentage of that price. Lower is better.
If the price had not moved: The error you would get by simply assuming the price stays where it is.
Landed in the network's range: Neurons never agree exactly. The range is where the middle 80% of their forecasts fell. This is how often the real price ended up inside it.

Showing 1 to 6 of 86 · last 30 days

BitcoinBITCOIN

Open forecast

Last 30 days · checked on 30 days · 692 forecasts

53.5%

right about the direction

Average error: 1.18%
If the price had not moved: 1.18%

Same as assuming no change

53.3% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed51.7% right · 120 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed42.4% right · 144 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed48.8% right · 258 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed53.3% right · 227 forecasts
Over 90% agreed60.6% right · 246 forecasts

EthereumETH

Open forecast

Last 30 days · checked on 30 days · 693 forecasts

53.0%

right about the direction

Average error: 1.59%
If the price had not moved: 1.55%

Worse than assuming no change

50.6% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed43.0% right · 128 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed49.2% right · 122 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed50.0% right · 252 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed53.7% right · 229 forecasts
Over 90% agreed57.6% right · 264 forecasts

SolanaSOL

Open forecast

Last 30 days · checked on 30 days · 693 forecasts

50.8%

right about the direction

Average error: 2.13%
If the price had not moved: 2.10%

Worse than assuming no change

46.8% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed42.8% right · 138 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed48.0% right · 127 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed51.7% right · 240 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed53.7% right · 205 forecasts
Over 90% agreed54.4% right · 285 forecasts

Binance CoinBNB

Open forecast

Last 30 days · checked on 30 days · 693 forecasts

52.1%

right about the direction

Average error: 1.31%
If the price had not moved: 1.30%

Worse than assuming no change

47.6% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed48.0% right · 150 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed52.3% right · 149 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed43.0% right · 221 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed51.8% right · 222 forecasts
Over 90% agreed53.4% right · 253 forecasts

XRPXRP

Open forecast

Last 30 days · checked on 30 days · 693 forecasts

51.8%

right about the direction

Average error: 2.37%
If the price had not moved: 2.34%

Worse than assuming no change

44.3% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed47.5% right · 122 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed45.8% right · 120 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed48.8% right · 205 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed52.5% right · 257 forecasts
Over 90% agreed55.0% right · 291 forecasts

TRONTRX

Open forecast

Last 30 days · checked on 30 days · 693 forecasts

51.1%

right about the direction

Average error: 0.61%
If the price had not moved: 0.57%

Worse than assuming no change

47.5% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed61.1% right · 126 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed46.5% right · 99 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed52.2% right · 201 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed52.3% right · 239 forecasts
Over 90% agreed51.2% right · 330 forecasts