Accuracy
How often the network's forecasts for the next 24 hours turned out right, stream by stream. Every forecast is saved before the outcome is known and checked against the real price a day later. Misses stay in the record.
How to read these numbers
- Right about the direction
- The share of forecasts that correctly said whether the price would be higher or lower a day later.
- Average error
- How far the forecast was from the real price a day later, on average, as a percentage of that price. Lower is better.
- If the price had not moved
- The error you would get by simply assuming the price stays where it is.
- Landed in the network's range
- Neurons never agree exactly. The range is where the middle 80% of their forecasts fell. This is how often the real price ended up inside it.
Showing 67 to 72 of 86 · last 30 days
QTC on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_QTC
Open forecastLast 30 days · checked on 30 days · 694 forecasts
52.0%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 9.18%
- If the price had not moved
- 9.02%
Worse than assuming no change
50.4% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed41.2% right · 170 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed52.7% right · 146 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed52.5% right · 177 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed52.0% right · 179 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed61.6% right · 333 forecasts
QUANTUS on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_QUANTUS
Open forecastLast 30 days · checked on 30 days · 694 forecasts
47.8%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 16.62%
- If the price had not moved
- 16.00%
Worse than assuming no change
35.6% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed52.1% right · 96 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed42.6% right · 136 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed42.4% right · 151 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed51.0% right · 157 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed48.9% right · 331 forecasts
QUBIC on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_QUBIC
Open forecastLast 30 days · checked on 30 days · 694 forecasts
48.1%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 6.61%
- If the price had not moved
- 6.36%
Worse than assuming no change
48.1% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed33.3% right · 111 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed48.9% right · 133 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed50.0% right · 212 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed45.0% right · 240 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed59.5% right · 309 forecasts
SAFE on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_SAFE
Open forecastLast 30 days · checked on 30 days · 694 forecasts
56.5%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 11.87%
- If the price had not moved
- 12.83%
Better than assuming no change
46.4% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed28.6% right · 206 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed45.2% right · 146 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed48.0% right · 202 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed46.6% right · 131 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed75.0% right · 320 forecasts
SATORIEVR on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_SAT
Open forecastLast 30 days · checked on 24 days · 534 forecasts
52.8%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 18.03%
- If the price had not moved
- 18.40%
Better than assuming no change
60.3% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed36.4% right · 451 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed61.0% right · 177 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed69.8% right · 86 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed62.3% right · 53 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed64.1% right · 78 forecasts
SOH on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_SOH
Open forecastLast 30 days · checked on 30 days · 694 forecasts
46.7%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 25.10%
- If the price had not moved
- 26.43%
Better than assuming no change
59.7% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed30.6% right · 510 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed48.0% right · 246 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed60.7% right · 140 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed59.4% right · 64 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed68.9% right · 45 forecasts