Accuracy
How often the network's forecasts for the next 24 hours turned out right, stream by stream. Every forecast is saved before the outcome is known and checked against the real price a day later. Misses stay in the record.
How to read these numbers
- Right about the direction
- The share of forecasts that correctly said whether the price would be higher or lower a day later.
- Average error
- How far the forecast was from the real price a day later, on average, as a percentage of that price. Lower is better.
- If the price had not moved
- The error you would get by simply assuming the price stays where it is.
- Landed in the network's range
- Neurons never agree exactly. The range is where the middle 80% of their forecasts fell. This is how often the real price ended up inside it.
Showing 55 to 60 of 86 · last 30 days
MDS on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_MDS
Open forecastLast 30 days · checked on 30 days · 694 forecasts
45.2%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 29.73%
- If the price had not moved
- 29.41%
Worse than assuming no change
56.2% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed23.9% right · 452 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed43.3% right · 210 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed51.5% right · 130 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed44.6% right · 83 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed57.4% right · 129 forecasts
MMX on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_MMX
Open forecastLast 30 days · checked on 30 days · 694 forecasts
2.0%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 8.14%
- If the price had not moved
- 7.42%
Worse than assuming no change
85.9% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed0.3% right · 646 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed5.8% right · 171 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed1.0% right · 101 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed0.0% right · 60 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed3.8% right · 26 forecasts
NEXA on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_NEXA
Open forecastLast 30 days · checked on 30 days · 694 forecasts
56.9%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 12.31%
- If the price had not moved
- 13.04%
Better than assuming no change
44.1% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed25.4% right · 201 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed57.3% right · 157 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed55.4% right · 224 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed61.3% right · 155 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed60.7% right · 267 forecasts
NOCK on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_NOCK
Open forecastLast 30 days · checked on 30 days · 694 forecasts
53.0%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 12.47%
- If the price had not moved
- 12.55%
Better than assuming no change
45.2% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed40.0% right · 125 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed45.0% right · 111 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed51.9% right · 185 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed58.8% right · 187 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed56.6% right · 396 forecasts
NOID on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_NOID
Open forecastLast 30 days · checked on 30 days · 694 forecasts
48.8%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 23.30%
- If the price had not moved
- 21.99%
Worse than assuming no change
40.5% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed48.4% right · 161 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed57.5% right · 146 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed53.1% right · 213 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed42.8% right · 187 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed45.8% right · 297 forecasts
NPT on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_NPT
Open forecastLast 30 days · checked on 30 days · 694 forecasts
44.2%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 15.19%
- If the price had not moved
- 14.45%
Worse than assuming no change
51.2% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed32.1% right · 396 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed47.3% right · 205 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed48.5% right · 136 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed46.3% right · 123 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed51.4% right · 144 forecasts