Accuracy
How often the network's forecasts for the next 24 hours turned out right, stream by stream. Every forecast is saved before the outcome is known and checked against the real price a day later. Misses stay in the record.
How to read these numbers
- Right about the direction
- The share of forecasts that correctly said whether the price would be higher or lower a day later.
- Average error
- How far the forecast was from the real price a day later, on average, as a percentage of that price. Lower is better.
- If the price had not moved
- The error you would get by simply assuming the price stays where it is.
- Landed in the network's range
- Neurons never agree exactly. The range is where the middle 80% of their forecasts fell. This is how often the real price ended up inside it.
Showing 49 to 54 of 86 · all time
KV5 on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_KV5
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 1,004 forecasts
38.9%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 40.41%
- If the price had not moved
- 40.68%
Better than assuming no change
65.6% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed21.0% right · 305 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed36.8% right · 201 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed45.2% right · 221 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed54.3% right · 116 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed55.9% right · 161 forecasts
LAX on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_LAX
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 1,004 forecasts
39.0%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 19.99%
- If the price had not moved
- 20.27%
Better than assuming no change
61.2% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed26.5% right · 465 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed45.1% right · 206 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed48.1% right · 156 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed66.2% right · 71 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed50.9% right · 106 forecasts
LDG on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_LDG
Open forecastAll time · checked on 16 days · 352 forecasts
2.6%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 5.45%
- If the price had not moved
- 6.11%
Better than assuming no change
86.6% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed3.9% right · 128 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed2.1% right · 94 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed0.0% right · 54 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed0.0% right · 44 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed6.2% right · 32 forecasts
LTC on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_LTC
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 1,004 forecasts
50.5%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 2.68%
- If the price had not moved
- 2.59%
Worse than assuming no change
47.2% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed52.7% right · 112 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed51.1% right · 139 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed53.2% right · 222 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed50.9% right · 212 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed47.3% right · 319 forecasts
MATILDA on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_MATILDA
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 1,004 forecasts
10.7%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 31.70%
- If the price had not moved
- 25.03%
Worse than assuming no change
66.4% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed3.1% right · 354 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed11.2% right · 197 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed21.1% right · 123 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed10.6% right · 170 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed18.8% right · 160 forecasts
MCL on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_MCL
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 1,004 forecasts
38.6%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 12.31%
- If the price had not moved
- 12.49%
Better than assuming no change
59.1% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed26.4% right · 545 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed50.7% right · 223 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed50.0% right · 132 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed44.7% right · 47 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed77.2% right · 57 forecasts