Accuracy

How often the network's forecasts for the next 24 hours turned out right, stream by stream. Every forecast is saved before the outcome is known and checked against the real price a day later. Misses stay in the record.

How to read these numbers

Right about the direction
The share of forecasts that correctly said whether the price would be higher or lower a day later.
Average error
How far the forecast was from the real price a day later, on average, as a percentage of that price. Lower is better.
If the price had not moved
The error you would get by simply assuming the price stays where it is.
Landed in the network's range
Neurons never agree exactly. The range is where the middle 80% of their forecasts fell. This is how often the real price ended up inside it.

Showing 49 to 54 of 86 · last 7 days

KV5 on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_KV5

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Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

57.6%

right about the direction

Average error
32.04%
If the price had not moved
36.28%

Better than assuming no change

70.1% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

  • 50 to 60% agreed21.0% right · 305 forecasts
  • 60 to 70% agreed36.8% right · 201 forecasts
  • 70 to 80% agreed45.2% right · 221 forecasts
  • 80 to 90% agreed54.3% right · 116 forecasts
  • Over 90% agreed55.9% right · 161 forecasts

LAX on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_LAX

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Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

39.6%

right about the direction

Average error
26.25%
If the price had not moved
29.78%

Better than assuming no change

67.4% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

  • 50 to 60% agreed26.5% right · 465 forecasts
  • 60 to 70% agreed45.1% right · 206 forecasts
  • 70 to 80% agreed48.1% right · 156 forecasts
  • 80 to 90% agreed66.2% right · 71 forecasts
  • Over 90% agreed50.9% right · 106 forecasts

LDG on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_LDG

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Last 7 days · fewer than a day of forecasts checked

Not enough forecasts have been checked in this window to give a fair number. Try a longer window.

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

  • 50 to 60% agreed3.9% right · 128 forecasts
  • 60 to 70% agreed2.1% right · 94 forecasts
  • 70 to 80% agreed0.0% right · 54 forecasts
  • 80 to 90% agreed0.0% right · 44 forecasts
  • Over 90% agreed6.2% right · 32 forecasts

LTC on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_LTC

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Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

50.7%

right about the direction

Average error
2.99%
If the price had not moved
2.98%

Worse than assuming no change

44.4% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

  • 50 to 60% agreed52.7% right · 112 forecasts
  • 60 to 70% agreed51.1% right · 139 forecasts
  • 70 to 80% agreed53.2% right · 222 forecasts
  • 80 to 90% agreed50.9% right · 212 forecasts
  • Over 90% agreed47.3% right · 319 forecasts

MATILDA on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_MATILDA

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Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

25.7%

right about the direction

Average error
53.84%
If the price had not moved
49.30%

Worse than assuming no change

45.8% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

  • 50 to 60% agreed3.1% right · 354 forecasts
  • 60 to 70% agreed11.2% right · 197 forecasts
  • 70 to 80% agreed21.1% right · 123 forecasts
  • 80 to 90% agreed10.6% right · 170 forecasts
  • Over 90% agreed18.8% right · 160 forecasts

MCL on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_MCL

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Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

41.7%

right about the direction

Average error
8.67%
If the price had not moved
9.24%

Better than assuming no change

56.9% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

  • 50 to 60% agreed26.4% right · 545 forecasts
  • 60 to 70% agreed50.7% right · 223 forecasts
  • 70 to 80% agreed50.0% right · 132 forecasts
  • 80 to 90% agreed44.7% right · 47 forecasts
  • Over 90% agreed77.2% right · 57 forecasts