Accuracy
How often the network's forecasts for the next 24 hours turned out right, stream by stream. Every forecast is saved before the outcome is known and checked against the real price a day later. Misses stay in the record.
How to read these numbers
- Right about the direction
- The share of forecasts that correctly said whether the price would be higher or lower a day later.
- Average error
- How far the forecast was from the real price a day later, on average, as a percentage of that price. Lower is better.
- If the price had not moved
- The error you would get by simply assuming the price stays where it is.
- Landed in the network's range
- Neurons never agree exactly. The range is where the middle 80% of their forecasts fell. This is how often the real price ended up inside it.
Showing 49 to 54 of 86 · last 7 days
KV5 on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_KV5
Open forecastLast 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts
57.6%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 32.04%
- If the price had not moved
- 36.28%
Better than assuming no change
70.1% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed21.0% right · 305 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed36.8% right · 201 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed45.2% right · 221 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed54.3% right · 116 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed55.9% right · 161 forecasts
LAX on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_LAX
Open forecastLast 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts
39.6%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 26.25%
- If the price had not moved
- 29.78%
Better than assuming no change
67.4% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed26.5% right · 465 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed45.1% right · 206 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed48.1% right · 156 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed66.2% right · 71 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed50.9% right · 106 forecasts
LDG on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_LDG
Open forecastLast 7 days · fewer than a day of forecasts checked
Not enough forecasts have been checked in this window to give a fair number. Try a longer window.
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed3.9% right · 128 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed2.1% right · 94 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed0.0% right · 54 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed0.0% right · 44 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed6.2% right · 32 forecasts
LTC on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_LTC
Open forecastLast 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts
50.7%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 2.99%
- If the price had not moved
- 2.98%
Worse than assuming no change
44.4% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed52.7% right · 112 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed51.1% right · 139 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed53.2% right · 222 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed50.9% right · 212 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed47.3% right · 319 forecasts
MATILDA on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_MATILDA
Open forecastLast 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts
25.7%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 53.84%
- If the price had not moved
- 49.30%
Worse than assuming no change
45.8% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed3.1% right · 354 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed11.2% right · 197 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed21.1% right · 123 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed10.6% right · 170 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed18.8% right · 160 forecasts
MCL on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_MCL
Open forecastLast 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts
41.7%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 8.67%
- If the price had not moved
- 9.24%
Better than assuming no change
56.9% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed26.4% right · 545 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed50.7% right · 223 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed50.0% right · 132 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed44.7% right · 47 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed77.2% right · 57 forecasts