Accuracy
How often the network's forecasts for the next 24 hours turned out right, stream by stream. Every forecast is saved before the outcome is known and checked against the real price a day later. Misses stay in the record.
How to read these numbers
- Right about the direction
- The share of forecasts that correctly said whether the price would be higher or lower a day later.
- Average error
- How far the forecast was from the real price a day later, on average, as a percentage of that price. Lower is better.
- If the price had not moved
- The error you would get by simply assuming the price stays where it is.
- Landed in the network's range
- Neurons never agree exactly. The range is where the middle 80% of their forecasts fell. This is how often the real price ended up inside it.
Showing 43 to 48 of 86 · all time
Evrmore on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_EVR
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 1,003 forecasts
57.3%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 22.82%
- If the price had not moved
- 23.76%
Better than assuming no change
54.0% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed35.0% right · 177 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed55.1% right · 156 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed56.1% right · 187 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed61.9% right · 176 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed69.4% right · 307 forecasts
GNK on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_GNK
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 1,003 forecasts
39.8%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 7.18%
- If the price had not moved
- 6.96%
Worse than assuming no change
57.7% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed29.7% right · 411 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed39.9% right · 248 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed55.8% right · 147 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed46.6% right · 73 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed50.0% right · 124 forecasts
GRC on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_GRC
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 1,003 forecasts
45.1%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 14.48%
- If the price had not moved
- 13.90%
Worse than assuming no change
49.7% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed35.8% right · 352 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed48.4% right · 248 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed53.5% right · 200 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed53.8% right · 78 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed45.6% right · 125 forecasts
HEX on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_HEX
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 1,003 forecasts
10.4%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 15.84%
- If the price had not moved
- 15.65%
Worse than assuming no change
85.5% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed4.8% right · 661 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed15.8% right · 183 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed31.2% right · 93 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed18.8% right · 48 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed27.8% right · 18 forecasts
KCN on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_KCN
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 1,003 forecasts
49.7%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 38.67%
- If the price had not moved
- 40.00%
Better than assuming no change
47.5% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed32.3% right · 434 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed50.5% right · 198 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed73.4% right · 188 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed67.5% right · 80 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed64.1% right · 103 forecasts
KRGN on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_KRGN
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 1,003 forecasts
39.6%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 29.84%
- If the price had not moved
- 30.56%
Better than assuming no change
68.8% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed26.7% right · 550 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed50.0% right · 216 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed54.5% right · 112 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed54.8% right · 62 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed74.6% right · 63 forecasts