Accuracy
How often the network's forecasts for the next 24 hours turned out right, stream by stream. Every forecast is saved before the outcome is known and checked against the real price a day later. Misses stay in the record.
How to read these numbers
- Right about the direction
- The share of forecasts that correctly said whether the price would be higher or lower a day later.
- Average error
- How far the forecast was from the real price a day later, on average, as a percentage of that price. Lower is better.
- If the price had not moved
- The error you would get by simply assuming the price stays where it is.
- Landed in the network's range
- Neurons never agree exactly. The range is where the middle 80% of their forecasts fell. This is how often the real price ended up inside it.
Showing 43 to 48 of 86 · last 30 days
Evrmore on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_EVR
Open forecastLast 30 days · checked on 30 days · 694 forecasts
55.8%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 22.43%
- If the price had not moved
- 23.41%
Better than assuming no change
57.2% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed35.0% right · 177 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed55.1% right · 156 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed56.1% right · 187 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed61.9% right · 176 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed69.2% right · 305 forecasts
GNK on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_GNK
Open forecastLast 30 days · checked on 30 days · 694 forecasts
38.6%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 5.74%
- If the price had not moved
- 5.63%
Worse than assuming no change
59.5% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed29.7% right · 411 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed39.9% right · 248 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed56.2% right · 146 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed46.6% right · 73 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed50.4% right · 123 forecasts
GRC on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_GRC
Open forecastLast 30 days · checked on 30 days · 694 forecasts
47.1%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 13.88%
- If the price had not moved
- 13.25%
Worse than assuming no change
51.0% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed35.6% right · 351 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed48.4% right · 248 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed53.3% right · 199 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed53.8% right · 78 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed45.6% right · 125 forecasts
HEX on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_HEX
Open forecastLast 30 days · checked on 30 days · 694 forecasts
13.5%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 18.63%
- If the price had not moved
- 18.77%
Better than assuming no change
82.9% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed4.6% right · 659 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed15.8% right · 183 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed31.2% right · 93 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed18.8% right · 48 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed27.8% right · 18 forecasts
KCN on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_KCN
Open forecastLast 30 days · checked on 30 days · 694 forecasts
48.8%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 44.07%
- If the price had not moved
- 46.28%
Better than assuming no change
46.5% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed32.1% right · 433 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed50.5% right · 198 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed73.3% right · 187 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed67.5% right · 80 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed64.1% right · 103 forecasts
KRGN on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_KRGN
Open forecastLast 30 days · checked on 30 days · 694 forecasts
44.8%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 38.44%
- If the price had not moved
- 39.77%
Better than assuming no change
59.9% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed26.8% right · 548 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed50.0% right · 216 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed54.5% right · 112 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed54.8% right · 62 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed74.6% right · 63 forecasts