Accuracy
How often the network's forecasts for the next 24 hours turned out right, stream by stream. Every forecast is saved before the outcome is known and checked against the real price a day later. Misses stay in the record.
How to read these numbers
- Right about the direction
- The share of forecasts that correctly said whether the price would be higher or lower a day later.
- Average error
- How far the forecast was from the real price a day later, on average, as a percentage of that price. Lower is better.
- If the price had not moved
- The error you would get by simply assuming the price stays where it is.
- Landed in the network's range
- Neurons never agree exactly. The range is where the middle 80% of their forecasts fell. This is how often the real price ended up inside it.
Showing 37 to 42 of 86 · all time
CNX on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_CNX
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 1,000 forecasts
41.4%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 13.33%
- If the price had not moved
- 13.33%
Same as assuming no change
54.1% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed28.6% right · 353 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed50.3% right · 177 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed43.8% right · 162 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed47.2% right · 108 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed51.0% right · 200 forecasts
CPAY on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_CPAY
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 1,000 forecasts
60.4%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 15.28%
- If the price had not moved
- 15.68%
Better than assuming no change
54.1% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed43.7% right · 334 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed62.3% right · 252 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed66.7% right · 114 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed81.4% right · 118 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed70.9% right · 182 forecasts
CSD on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_CSD
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 1,000 forecasts
32.0%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 152.21%
- If the price had not moved
- 148.70%
Worse than assuming no change
71.8% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed22.2% right · 432 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed27.8% right · 281 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed48.2% right · 139 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed55.0% right · 60 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed52.3% right · 88 forecasts
DAI on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_DAI
Open forecastAll time · checked on 18 days · 392 forecasts
8.2%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 1.82%
- If the price had not moved
- 1.28%
Worse than assuming no change
68.9% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed10.3% right · 155 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed7.8% right · 90 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed10.8% right · 37 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed8.6% right · 35 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed2.7% right · 75 forecasts
DOGE on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_DOGE
Open forecastAll time · checked on 31 days · 715 forecasts
62.4%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 9.14%
- If the price had not moved
- 8.71%
Worse than assuming no change
36.5% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed47.7% right · 107 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed59.1% right · 88 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed56.5% right · 92 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed57.1% right · 119 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed72.2% right · 309 forecasts
ETH on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_ETH
Open forecastAll time · checked on 31 days · 713 forecasts
65.9%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 6.27%
- If the price had not moved
- 5.88%
Worse than assuming no change
47.5% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed48.3% right · 87 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed57.3% right · 82 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed68.1% right · 119 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed69.8% right · 149 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed71.0% right · 276 forecasts