Accuracy

How often the network's forecasts for the next 24 hours turned out right, stream by stream. Every forecast is saved before the outcome is known and checked against the real price a day later. Misses stay in the record.

How to read these numbers

Right about the direction: The share of forecasts that correctly said whether the price would be higher or lower a day later.
Average error: How far the forecast was from the real price a day later, on average, as a percentage of that price. Lower is better.
If the price had not moved: The error you would get by simply assuming the price stays where it is.
Landed in the network's range: Neurons never agree exactly. The range is where the middle 80% of their forecasts fell. This is how often the real price ended up inside it.

Showing 37 to 42 of 86 · last 7 days

CNX on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_CNX

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Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

55.6%

right about the direction

Average error: 10.89%
If the price had not moved: 11.28%

Better than assuming no change

53.5% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed28.6% right · 353 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed50.6% right · 178 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed43.8% right · 162 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed47.2% right · 108 forecasts
Over 90% agreed51.0% right · 200 forecasts

CPAY on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_CPAY

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Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

54.9%

right about the direction

Average error: 16.22%
If the price had not moved: 15.19%

Worse than assuming no change

58.3% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed43.7% right · 334 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed62.3% right · 252 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed66.7% right · 114 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed81.4% right · 118 forecasts
Over 90% agreed70.5% right · 183 forecasts

CSD on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_CSD

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Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

52.8%

right about the direction

Average error: 38.37%
If the price had not moved: 37.60%

Worse than assuming no change

72.9% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed22.2% right · 432 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed27.8% right · 281 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed47.9% right · 140 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed55.0% right · 60 forecasts
Over 90% agreed52.3% right · 88 forecasts

DAI on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_DAI

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Last 7 days · fewer than a day of forecasts checked

Not enough forecasts have been checked in this window to give a fair number. Try a longer window.

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed10.3% right · 155 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed7.8% right · 90 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed10.8% right · 37 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed8.6% right · 35 forecasts
Over 90% agreed2.7% right · 75 forecasts

DOGE on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_DOGE

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Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

69.4%

right about the direction

Average error: 5.30%
If the price had not moved: 5.89%

Better than assuming no change

35.4% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed47.7% right · 107 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed59.1% right · 88 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed56.5% right · 92 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed57.1% right · 119 forecasts
Over 90% agreed72.3% right · 310 forecasts

ETH on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_ETH

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Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

70.1%

right about the direction

Average error: 3.20%
If the price had not moved: 4.02%

Better than assuming no change

45.1% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed48.3% right · 87 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed57.3% right · 82 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed68.1% right · 119 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed69.8% right · 149 forecasts
Over 90% agreed70.8% right · 277 forecasts