Accuracy

How often the network's forecasts for the next 24 hours turned out right, stream by stream. Every forecast is saved before the outcome is known and checked against the real price a day later. Misses stay in the record.

How to read these numbers

Right about the direction: The share of forecasts that correctly said whether the price would be higher or lower a day later.
Average error: How far the forecast was from the real price a day later, on average, as a percentage of that price. Lower is better.
If the price had not moved: The error you would get by simply assuming the price stays where it is.
Landed in the network's range: Neurons never agree exactly. The range is where the middle 80% of their forecasts fell. This is how often the real price ended up inside it.

Showing 31 to 36 of 86 · all time

AVAX on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_AVAX

Open forecast

All time · checked on 43 days · 1,000 forecasts

55.9%

right about the direction

Average error: 9.02%
If the price had not moved: 9.06%

Better than assuming no change

48.4% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?

50 to 60% agreed36.7% right · 316 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed60.8% right · 286 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed66.2% right · 219 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed75.0% right · 72 forecasts
Over 90% agreed65.4% right · 107 forecasts

BNB on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_BNB

Open forecast

All time · checked on 43 days · 1,000 forecasts

63.8%

right about the direction

Average error: 4.60%
If the price had not moved: 4.76%

Better than assuming no change

52.5% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?

50 to 60% agreed37.2% right · 121 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed58.6% right · 111 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed66.3% right · 172 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed68.2% right · 198 forecasts
Over 90% agreed70.1% right · 398 forecasts

BTC on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_BTC

Open forecast

All time · checked on 43 days · 1,000 forecasts

61.4%

right about the direction

Average error: 1.29%
If the price had not moved: 1.35%

Better than assuming no change

57.1% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?

50 to 60% agreed43.0% right · 79 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed58.4% right · 113 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed55.3% right · 179 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed62.1% right · 277 forecasts
Over 90% agreed69.0% right · 352 forecasts

BTCZ on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_BTCZ

Open forecast

All time · checked on 43 days · 1,000 forecasts

47.1%

right about the direction

Average error: 6.98%
If the price had not moved: 6.71%

Worse than assuming no change

59.0% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?

50 to 60% agreed40.2% right · 470 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed51.8% right · 226 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed52.3% right · 153 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed51.3% right · 78 forecasts
Over 90% agreed61.6% right · 73 forecasts

CFB on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_CFB

Open forecast

All time · checked on 43 days · 1,000 forecasts

41.6%

right about the direction

Average error: 13.52%
If the price had not moved: 12.36%

Worse than assuming no change

46.8% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?

50 to 60% agreed30.3% right · 350 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed42.4% right · 165 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed50.7% right · 134 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed51.2% right · 84 forecasts
Over 90% agreed48.3% right · 267 forecasts

CLORE on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_CLORE

Open forecast

All time · checked on 43 days · 1,000 forecasts

50.7%

right about the direction

Average error: 8.96%
If the price had not moved: 8.78%

Worse than assuming no change

43.6% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?

50 to 60% agreed45.3% right · 128 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed49.5% right · 109 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed60.5% right · 195 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed58.9% right · 207 forecasts
Over 90% agreed42.9% right · 361 forecasts