Accuracy

How often the network's forecasts for the next 24 hours turned out right, stream by stream. Every forecast is saved before the outcome is known and checked against the real price a day later. Misses stay in the record.

How to read these numbers

Right about the direction
The share of forecasts that correctly said whether the price would be higher or lower a day later.
Average error
How far the forecast was from the real price a day later, on average, as a percentage of that price. Lower is better.
If the price had not moved
The error you would get by simply assuming the price stays where it is.
Landed in the network's range
Neurons never agree exactly. The range is where the middle 80% of their forecasts fell. This is how often the real price ended up inside it.

Showing 31 to 36 of 86 · last 7 days

AVAX on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_AVAX

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Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

63.9%

right about the direction

Average error
11.76%
If the price had not moved
11.96%

Better than assuming no change

32.6% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

  • 50 to 60% agreed36.7% right · 316 forecasts
  • 60 to 70% agreed60.8% right · 286 forecasts
  • 70 to 80% agreed66.2% right · 219 forecasts
  • 80 to 90% agreed75.0% right · 72 forecasts
  • Over 90% agreed65.4% right · 107 forecasts

BNB on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_BNB

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Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

66.0%

right about the direction

Average error
2.06%
If the price had not moved
2.19%

Better than assuming no change

51.4% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

  • 50 to 60% agreed37.2% right · 121 forecasts
  • 60 to 70% agreed58.6% right · 111 forecasts
  • 70 to 80% agreed66.3% right · 172 forecasts
  • 80 to 90% agreed68.2% right · 198 forecasts
  • Over 90% agreed70.1% right · 398 forecasts

BTC on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_BTC

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Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

65.3%

right about the direction

Average error
1.07%
If the price had not moved
1.14%

Better than assuming no change

65.3% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

  • 50 to 60% agreed43.0% right · 79 forecasts
  • 60 to 70% agreed58.4% right · 113 forecasts
  • 70 to 80% agreed55.3% right · 179 forecasts
  • 80 to 90% agreed62.1% right · 277 forecasts
  • Over 90% agreed69.0% right · 352 forecasts

BTCZ on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_BTCZ

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Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

45.1%

right about the direction

Average error
5.65%
If the price had not moved
5.25%

Worse than assuming no change

63.2% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

  • 50 to 60% agreed40.2% right · 470 forecasts
  • 60 to 70% agreed51.8% right · 226 forecasts
  • 70 to 80% agreed52.3% right · 153 forecasts
  • 80 to 90% agreed51.3% right · 78 forecasts
  • Over 90% agreed61.6% right · 73 forecasts

CFB on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_CFB

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Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

27.1%

right about the direction

Average error
3.48%
If the price had not moved
3.20%

Worse than assuming no change

70.1% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

  • 50 to 60% agreed30.3% right · 350 forecasts
  • 60 to 70% agreed42.4% right · 165 forecasts
  • 70 to 80% agreed50.7% right · 134 forecasts
  • 80 to 90% agreed51.2% right · 84 forecasts
  • Over 90% agreed48.3% right · 267 forecasts

CLORE on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_CLORE

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Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

55.6%

right about the direction

Average error
6.83%
If the price had not moved
6.82%

Worse than assuming no change

47.9% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

  • 50 to 60% agreed45.3% right · 128 forecasts
  • 60 to 70% agreed49.5% right · 109 forecasts
  • 70 to 80% agreed60.5% right · 195 forecasts
  • 80 to 90% agreed58.9% right · 207 forecasts
  • Over 90% agreed42.9% right · 361 forecasts