Accuracy
How often the network's forecasts for the next 24 hours turned out right, stream by stream. Every forecast is saved before the outcome is known and checked against the real price a day later. Misses stay in the record.
How to read these numbers
- Right about the direction
- The share of forecasts that correctly said whether the price would be higher or lower a day later.
- Average error
- How far the forecast was from the real price a day later, on average, as a percentage of that price. Lower is better.
- If the price had not moved
- The error you would get by simply assuming the price stays where it is.
- Landed in the network's range
- Neurons never agree exactly. The range is where the middle 80% of their forecasts fell. This is how often the real price ended up inside it.
Showing 31 to 36 of 86 · last 30 days
AVAX on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_AVAX
Open forecastLast 30 days · checked on 30 days · 694 forecasts
58.6%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 8.90%
- If the price had not moved
- 9.07%
Better than assuming no change
47.6% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed36.7% right · 316 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed60.8% right · 286 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed66.5% right · 218 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed75.0% right · 72 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed65.4% right · 107 forecasts
BNB on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_BNB
Open forecastLast 30 days · checked on 30 days · 694 forecasts
68.7%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 3.04%
- If the price had not moved
- 3.31%
Better than assuming no change
54.8% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed37.2% right · 121 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed58.6% right · 111 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed66.3% right · 172 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed68.2% right · 198 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed70.0% right · 397 forecasts
BTC on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_BTC
Open forecastLast 30 days · checked on 30 days · 694 forecasts
63.1%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 1.21%
- If the price had not moved
- 1.28%
Better than assuming no change
54.9% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed43.0% right · 79 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed58.4% right · 113 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed55.6% right · 178 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed62.1% right · 277 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed69.0% right · 352 forecasts
BTCZ on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_BTCZ
Open forecastLast 30 days · checked on 30 days · 694 forecasts
43.2%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 6.92%
- If the price had not moved
- 6.63%
Worse than assuming no change
59.2% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed40.2% right · 470 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed51.6% right · 225 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed52.3% right · 153 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed51.3% right · 78 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed61.6% right · 73 forecasts
CFB on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_CFB
Open forecastLast 30 days · checked on 30 days · 694 forecasts
42.5%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 10.34%
- If the price had not moved
- 9.72%
Worse than assuming no change
58.9% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed30.3% right · 350 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed42.4% right · 165 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed50.7% right · 134 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed50.6% right · 83 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed48.3% right · 267 forecasts
CLORE on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_CLORE
Open forecastLast 30 days · checked on 30 days · 694 forecasts
51.6%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 8.56%
- If the price had not moved
- 8.40%
Worse than assuming no change
47.1% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)
- 50 to 60% agreed45.3% right · 128 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed49.5% right · 109 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed60.5% right · 195 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed58.9% right · 207 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed42.8% right · 360 forecasts