Accuracy

How often the network's forecasts for the next 24 hours turned out right, stream by stream. Every forecast is saved before the outcome is known and checked against the real price a day later. Misses stay in the record.

How to read these numbers

Right about the direction: The share of forecasts that correctly said whether the price would be higher or lower a day later.
Average error: How far the forecast was from the real price a day later, on average, as a percentage of that price. Lower is better.
If the price had not moved: The error you would get by simply assuming the price stays where it is.
Landed in the network's range: Neurons never agree exactly. The range is where the middle 80% of their forecasts fell. This is how often the real price ended up inside it.

Showing 25 to 30 of 86 · all time

NeoNEO

Open forecast

All time · checked on 43 days · 1,003 forecasts

50.0%

right about the direction

Average error: 3.13%
If the price had not moved: 3.06%

Worse than assuming no change

38.0% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?

50 to 60% agreed60.0% right · 110 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed63.2% right · 136 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed52.0% right · 202 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed45.6% right · 217 forecasts
Over 90% agreed42.9% right · 338 forecasts

Bitcoin, spot feedBTC

Open forecast

All time · checked on 43 days · 1,003 forecasts

53.6%

right about the direction

Average error: 1.22%
If the price had not moved: 1.22%

Same as assuming no change

58.4% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?

50 to 60% agreed50.6% right · 154 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed50.3% right · 143 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed47.0% right · 217 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed57.4% right · 244 forecasts
Over 90% agreed59.6% right · 245 forecasts

Crypto Fear and GreedCRYPTO_FEAR_GREED

Open forecast

All time · checked on 41 days · 41 forecasts

56.1%

right about the direction

Average error: 9.42%
If the price had not moved: 8.09%

Worse than assuming no change

58.5% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?

50 to 60% agreed0.0% right · 1 forecast
60 to 70% agreed66.7% right · 3 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed16.7% right · 6 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed63.6% right · 11 forecasts
Over 90% agreed65.0% right · 20 forecasts

goldGOLD

Open forecast

All time · checked on 25 days · 581 forecasts

41.3%

right about the direction

Average error: 0.65%
If the price had not moved: 0.63%

Worse than assuming no change

41.5% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?

50 to 60% agreed22.9% right · 153 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed39.1% right · 87 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed37.8% right · 74 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed54.6% right · 97 forecasts
Over 90% agreed52.9% right · 170 forecasts

ARB on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_ARB

Open forecast

All time · checked on 43 days · 999 forecasts

47.2%

right about the direction

Average error: 8.29%
If the price had not moved: 8.24%

Worse than assuming no change

55.4% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?

50 to 60% agreed39.5% right · 428 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed46.7% right · 291 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed57.7% right · 137 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed60.7% right · 61 forecasts
Over 90% agreed62.2% right · 82 forecasts

ARRR on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_ARRR

Open forecast

All time · checked on 40 days · 911 forecasts

30.3%

right about the direction

Average error: 13.30%
If the price had not moved: 12.12%

Worse than assuming no change

38.3% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?

50 to 60% agreed19.4% right · 253 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed38.3% right · 120 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed31.3% right · 134 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed47.0% right · 132 forecasts
Over 90% agreed28.3% right · 272 forecasts