Accuracy

How often the network's forecasts for the next 24 hours turned out right, stream by stream. Every forecast is saved before the outcome is known and checked against the real price a day later. Misses stay in the record.

How to read these numbers

Right about the direction: The share of forecasts that correctly said whether the price would be higher or lower a day later.
Average error: How far the forecast was from the real price a day later, on average, as a percentage of that price. Lower is better.
If the price had not moved: The error you would get by simply assuming the price stays where it is.
Landed in the network's range: Neurons never agree exactly. The range is where the middle 80% of their forecasts fell. This is how often the real price ended up inside it.

Showing 25 to 30 of 86 · last 7 days

NeoNEO

Open forecast

Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

46.5%

right about the direction

Average error: 4.11%
If the price had not moved: 3.92%

Worse than assuming no change

34.7% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed60.0% right · 110 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed63.2% right · 136 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed52.0% right · 202 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed45.6% right · 217 forecasts
Over 90% agreed42.9% right · 338 forecasts

Bitcoin, spot feedBTC

Open forecast

Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

57.6%

right about the direction

Average error: 1.03%
If the price had not moved: 1.06%

Better than assuming no change

70.1% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed50.6% right · 154 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed50.3% right · 143 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed47.0% right · 217 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed57.4% right · 244 forecasts
Over 90% agreed59.6% right · 245 forecasts

Crypto Fear and GreedCRYPTO_FEAR_GREED

Open forecast

Last 7 days · fewer than a day of forecasts checked

Not enough forecasts have been checked in this window to give a fair number. Try a longer window.

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed0.0% right · 1 forecast
60 to 70% agreed66.7% right · 3 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed16.7% right · 6 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed63.6% right · 11 forecasts
Over 90% agreed65.0% right · 20 forecasts

goldGOLD

Open forecast

Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

52.8%

right about the direction

Average error: 0.55%
If the price had not moved: 0.56%

Better than assuming no change

59.0% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed22.9% right · 153 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed39.1% right · 87 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed37.8% right · 74 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed54.6% right · 97 forecasts
Over 90% agreed52.9% right · 170 forecasts

ARB on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_ARB

Open forecast

Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

59.0%

right about the direction

Average error: 6.47%
If the price had not moved: 6.46%

Worse than assuming no change

57.6% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed39.5% right · 428 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed46.7% right · 291 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed57.7% right · 137 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed60.7% right · 61 forecasts
Over 90% agreed62.2% right · 82 forecasts

ARRR on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_ARRR

Open forecast

Last 7 days · checked on 4 days · 56 forecasts

33.9%

right about the direction

Average error: 18.98%
If the price had not moved: 15.36%

Worse than assuming no change

14.3% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed19.4% right · 253 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed38.3% right · 120 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed31.3% right · 134 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed47.0% right · 132 forecasts
Over 90% agreed28.3% right · 272 forecasts