Accuracy

How often the network's forecasts for the next 24 hours turned out right, stream by stream. Every forecast is saved before the outcome is known and checked against the real price a day later. Misses stay in the record.

How to read these numbers

Right about the direction: The share of forecasts that correctly said whether the price would be higher or lower a day later.
Average error: How far the forecast was from the real price a day later, on average, as a percentage of that price. Lower is better.
If the price had not moved: The error you would get by simply assuming the price stays where it is.
Landed in the network's range: Neurons never agree exactly. The range is where the middle 80% of their forecasts fell. This is how often the real price ended up inside it.

Showing 19 to 24 of 86 · last 7 days

StellarXLM

Open forecast

Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

39.6%

right about the direction

Average error: 2.85%
If the price had not moved: 2.67%

Worse than assuming no change

27.8% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed51.2% right · 129 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed46.6% right · 131 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed49.5% right · 190 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed50.0% right · 198 forecasts
Over 90% agreed55.9% right · 354 forecasts

TezosXTZ

Open forecast

Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

54.2%

right about the direction

Average error: 4.00%
If the price had not moved: 4.00%

Same as assuming no change

52.1% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed54.6% right · 119 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed53.9% right · 128 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed53.2% right · 203 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed45.8% right · 214 forecasts
Over 90% agreed53.8% right · 338 forecasts

VeChainVET

Open forecast

Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

44.4%

right about the direction

Average error: 4.25%
If the price had not moved: 4.09%

Worse than assuming no change

33.3% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed53.4% right · 118 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed56.8% right · 125 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed55.9% right · 195 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed47.3% right · 245 forecasts
Over 90% agreed43.9% right · 319 forecasts

EOSEOS

Open forecast

Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

47.9%

right about the direction

Average error: 4.99%
If the price had not moved: 5.07%

Better than assuming no change

54.2% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed50.4% right · 117 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed50.7% right · 140 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed46.9% right · 239 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed44.1% right · 254 forecasts
Over 90% agreed56.7% right · 252 forecasts

MakerMKR

Open forecast

Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

49.3%

right about the direction

Average error: 3.46%
If the price had not moved: 3.38%

Worse than assuming no change

50.0% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed35.7% right · 112 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed45.0% right · 120 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed34.4% right · 180 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed45.0% right · 209 forecasts
Over 90% agreed60.4% right · 381 forecasts

PolygonMATIC

Open forecast

Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

44.4%

right about the direction

Average error: 3.10%
If the price had not moved: 2.91%

Worse than assuming no change

31.9% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed47.7% right · 130 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed55.5% right · 128 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed50.7% right · 203 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed53.2% right · 233 forecasts
Over 90% agreed49.4% right · 308 forecasts