Accuracy
How often the network's forecasts for the next 24 hours turned out right, stream by stream. Every forecast is saved before the outcome is known and checked against the real price a day later. Misses stay in the record.
How to read these numbers
- Right about the direction
- The share of forecasts that correctly said whether the price would be higher or lower a day later.
- Average error
- How far the forecast was from the real price a day later, on average, as a percentage of that price. Lower is better.
- If the price had not moved
- The error you would get by simply assuming the price stays where it is.
- Landed in the network's range
- Neurons never agree exactly. The range is where the middle 80% of their forecasts fell. This is how often the real price ended up inside it.
Showing 7 to 12 of 86 · all time
DogecoinDOGE
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 1,001 forecasts
50.9%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 2.67%
- If the price had not moved
- 2.61%
Worse than assuming no change
48.3% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed48.2% right · 139 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed53.3% right · 105 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed51.5% right · 198 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed50.8% right · 260 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed51.2% right · 299 forecasts
CardanoADA
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 1,001 forecasts
50.0%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 3.31%
- If the price had not moved
- 3.24%
Worse than assuming no change
47.7% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed45.2% right · 104 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed51.6% right · 128 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed47.6% right · 191 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed51.0% right · 261 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed51.4% right · 317 forecasts
LitecoinLTC
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 1,001 forecasts
48.6%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 2.66%
- If the price had not moved
- 2.55%
Worse than assuming no change
47.4% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed54.9% right · 113 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed50.3% right · 161 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed48.8% right · 213 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed51.6% right · 219 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed42.7% right · 295 forecasts
ChainlinkLINK
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 1,001 forecasts
48.0%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 3.22%
- If the price had not moved
- 3.11%
Worse than assuming no change
52.3% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed45.0% right · 111 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed47.4% right · 114 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed46.4% right · 196 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed48.6% right · 288 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed49.7% right · 292 forecasts
MoneroXMR
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 970 forecasts
53.5%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 4.64%
- If the price had not moved
- 4.43%
Worse than assuming no change
51.8% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed55.2% right · 125 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed43.6% right · 163 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed53.3% right · 199 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed45.6% right · 169 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed62.4% right · 314 forecasts
AvalancheAVAX
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 1,001 forecasts
50.6%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 3.65%
- If the price had not moved
- 3.58%
Worse than assuming no change
48.2% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed43.8% right · 130 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed49.2% right · 120 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed47.2% right · 195 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed53.5% right · 256 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed54.0% right · 300 forecasts