Accuracy

How often the network's forecasts for the next 24 hours turned out right, stream by stream. Every forecast is saved before the outcome is known and checked against the real price a day later. Misses stay in the record.

How to read these numbers

Right about the direction: The share of forecasts that correctly said whether the price would be higher or lower a day later.
Average error: How far the forecast was from the real price a day later, on average, as a percentage of that price. Lower is better.
If the price had not moved: The error you would get by simply assuming the price stays where it is.
Landed in the network's range: Neurons never agree exactly. The range is where the middle 80% of their forecasts fell. This is how often the real price ended up inside it.

Showing 7 to 12 of 86 · last 7 days

DogecoinDOGE

Open forecast

Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

53.5%

right about the direction

Average error: 2.30%
If the price had not moved: 2.30%

Same as assuming no change

36.1% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed48.2% right · 139 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed53.3% right · 105 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed51.5% right · 198 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed50.8% right · 260 forecasts
Over 90% agreed51.2% right · 299 forecasts

CardanoADA

Open forecast

Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

44.4%

right about the direction

Average error: 3.36%
If the price had not moved: 3.26%

Worse than assuming no change

38.2% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed45.2% right · 104 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed51.6% right · 128 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed47.6% right · 191 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed51.0% right · 261 forecasts
Over 90% agreed51.4% right · 317 forecasts

LitecoinLTC

Open forecast

Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

55.6%

right about the direction

Average error: 2.87%
If the price had not moved: 2.83%

Worse than assuming no change

43.1% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed54.9% right · 113 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed50.3% right · 161 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed48.8% right · 213 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed51.6% right · 219 forecasts
Over 90% agreed42.7% right · 295 forecasts

ChainlinkLINK

Open forecast

Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

54.2%

right about the direction

Average error: 2.85%
If the price had not moved: 2.84%

Worse than assuming no change

50.0% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed45.0% right · 111 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed47.4% right · 114 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed46.4% right · 196 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed48.6% right · 288 forecasts
Over 90% agreed49.7% right · 292 forecasts

MoneroXMR

Open forecast

Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 139 forecasts

58.3%

right about the direction

Average error: 2.15%
If the price had not moved: 2.18%

Better than assuming no change

42.4% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed55.2% right · 125 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed43.6% right · 163 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed53.3% right · 199 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed45.6% right · 169 forecasts
Over 90% agreed62.4% right · 314 forecasts

AvalancheAVAX

Open forecast

Last 7 days · checked on 7 days · 144 forecasts

52.8%

right about the direction

Average error: 3.26%
If the price had not moved: 3.23%

Worse than assuming no change

47.9% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed43.8% right · 130 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed49.2% right · 120 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed47.2% right · 195 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed53.5% right · 256 forecasts
Over 90% agreed54.0% right · 300 forecasts