Accuracy

How often the network's forecasts for the next 24 hours turned out right, stream by stream. Every forecast is saved before the outcome is known and checked against the real price a day later. Misses stay in the record.

How to read these numbers

Right about the direction: The share of forecasts that correctly said whether the price would be higher or lower a day later.
Average error: How far the forecast was from the real price a day later, on average, as a percentage of that price. Lower is better.
If the price had not moved: The error you would get by simply assuming the price stays where it is.
Landed in the network's range: Neurons never agree exactly. The range is where the middle 80% of their forecasts fell. This is how often the real price ended up inside it.

Showing 79 to 84 of 86 · last 30 days

XBT on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_XBT

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Last 30 days · checked on 30 days · 693 forecasts

50.4%

right about the direction

Average error: 14.72%
If the price had not moved: 14.47%

Worse than assuming no change

38.0% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed33.3% right · 195 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed60.3% right · 156 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed55.0% right · 151 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed45.6% right · 147 forecasts
Over 90% agreed48.0% right · 300 forecasts

XEL on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_XEL

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Last 30 days · checked on 30 days · 693 forecasts

57.6%

right about the direction

Average error: 12.54%
If the price had not moved: 13.31%

Better than assuming no change

41.0% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed40.3% right · 365 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed56.7% right · 277 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed60.1% right · 163 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed64.0% right · 75 forecasts
Over 90% agreed70.9% right · 127 forecasts

XMR on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_XMR

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Last 30 days · checked on 30 days · 693 forecasts

63.8%

right about the direction

Average error: 3.56%
If the price had not moved: 3.82%

Better than assuming no change

43.9% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed48.9% right · 92 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed53.1% right · 98 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed51.7% right · 180 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed59.2% right · 206 forecasts
Over 90% agreed67.7% right · 431 forecasts

XNT on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_XNT

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Last 30 days · checked on 30 days · 693 forecasts

50.1%

right about the direction

Average error: 14.23%
If the price had not moved: 13.81%

Worse than assuming no change

31.3% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed41.8% right · 361 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed44.0% right · 225 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed51.9% right · 158 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed58.5% right · 82 forecasts
Over 90% agreed49.7% right · 181 forecasts

XPM on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_XPM

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Last 30 days · checked on 30 days · 693 forecasts

7.4%

right about the direction

Average error: 5.63%
If the price had not moved: 4.81%

Worse than assuming no change

88.5% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed3.5% right · 634 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed7.3% right · 151 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed22.9% right · 70 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed15.2% right · 105 forecasts
Over 90% agreed4.3% right · 47 forecasts

XTM on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_XTM

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Last 30 days · checked on 30 days · 693 forecasts

57.3%

right about the direction

Average error: 7.31%
If the price had not moved: 7.75%

Better than assuming no change

35.6% landed in the network's range

Was it right more often when more of the network agreed? (all time)

50 to 60% agreed34.1% right · 138 forecasts
60 to 70% agreed58.5% right · 94 forecasts
70 to 80% agreed61.2% right · 147 forecasts
80 to 90% agreed60.8% right · 186 forecasts
Over 90% agreed57.5% right · 442 forecasts