Accuracy
How often the network's forecasts for the next 24 hours turned out right, stream by stream. Every forecast is saved before the outcome is known and checked against the real price a day later. Misses stay in the record.
How to read these numbers
- Right about the direction
- The share of forecasts that correctly said whether the price would be higher or lower a day later.
- Average error
- How far the forecast was from the real price a day later, on average, as a percentage of that price. Lower is better.
- If the price had not moved
- The error you would get by simply assuming the price stays where it is.
- Landed in the network's range
- Neurons never agree exactly. The range is where the middle 80% of their forecasts fell. This is how often the real price ended up inside it.
Showing 73 to 78 of 86 · all time
SOQ on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_SOQ
Open forecastAll time · checked on 5 days · 79 forecasts
64.6%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 480.58%
- If the price had not moved
- 179.72%
Worse than assuming no change
44.3% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed25.0% right · 4 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed71.4% right · 7 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed70.0% right · 10 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed50.0% right · 8 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed68.0% right · 50 forecasts
SUI on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_SUI
Open forecastAll time · checked on 44 days · 1,007 forecasts
51.6%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 10.69%
- If the price had not moved
- 10.97%
Better than assuming no change
47.3% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed25.6% right · 172 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed57.6% right · 125 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed49.1% right · 161 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed58.1% right · 203 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed59.8% right · 346 forecasts
TRX on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_TRX
Open forecastAll time · checked on 44 days · 1,007 forecasts
60.6%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 1.23%
- If the price had not moved
- 1.39%
Better than assuming no change
57.3% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed48.4% right · 157 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed50.0% right · 142 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed53.4% right · 174 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed60.8% right · 199 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed74.3% right · 335 forecasts
TSC on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_TSC
Open forecastAll time · checked on 44 days · 1,007 forecasts
55.6%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 10.13%
- If the price had not moved
- 9.79%
Worse than assuming no change
34.2% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed54.6% right · 108 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed61.9% right · 113 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed58.0% right · 207 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed51.8% right · 193 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed54.7% right · 386 forecasts
VRSC on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_VRSC
Open forecastAll time · checked on 44 days · 1,007 forecasts
61.3%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 7.79%
- If the price had not moved
- 7.80%
Better than assuming no change
51.1% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed43.4% right · 166 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed57.7% right · 137 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed63.5% right · 203 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed72.9% right · 177 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed64.2% right · 324 forecasts
WART on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_WART
Open forecastAll time · checked on 44 days · 1,007 forecasts
60.0%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 17.33%
- If the price had not moved
- 17.17%
Worse than assuming no change
45.2% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed44.7% right · 318 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed63.0% right · 235 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed63.1% right · 179 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed72.5% right · 91 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed73.4% right · 184 forecasts