Accuracy
How often the network's forecasts for the next 24 hours turned out right, stream by stream. Every forecast is saved before the outcome is known and checked against the real price a day later. Misses stay in the record.
How to read these numbers
- Right about the direction
- The share of forecasts that correctly said whether the price would be higher or lower a day later.
- Average error
- How far the forecast was from the real price a day later, on average, as a percentage of that price. Lower is better.
- If the price had not moved
- The error you would get by simply assuming the price stays where it is.
- Landed in the network's range
- Neurons never agree exactly. The range is where the middle 80% of their forecasts fell. This is how often the real price ended up inside it.
Showing 67 to 72 of 86 · all time
QTC on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_QTC
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 1,006 forecasts
53.6%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 8.14%
- If the price had not moved
- 7.96%
Worse than assuming no change
48.5% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed41.2% right · 170 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed52.7% right · 146 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed52.5% right · 177 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed52.0% right · 179 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed61.7% right · 334 forecasts
QUANTUS on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_QUANTUS
Open forecastAll time · checked on 37 days · 872 forecasts
47.5%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 21.82%
- If the price had not moved
- 18.10%
Worse than assuming no change
36.7% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed52.1% right · 96 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed42.6% right · 136 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed42.4% right · 151 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed51.0% right · 157 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed48.8% right · 332 forecasts
QUBIC on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_QUBIC
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 1,006 forecasts
49.7%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 5.19%
- If the price had not moved
- 5.00%
Worse than assuming no change
50.1% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed33.3% right · 111 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed48.9% right · 133 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed50.0% right · 212 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed44.8% right · 241 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed59.5% right · 309 forecasts
SAFE on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_SAFE
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 1,006 forecasts
52.1%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 9.45%
- If the price had not moved
- 10.08%
Better than assuming no change
50.9% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed28.6% right · 206 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed45.2% right · 146 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed48.0% right · 202 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed46.6% right · 131 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed75.1% right · 321 forecasts
SATORIEVR on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_SAT
Open forecastAll time · checked on 37 days · 846 forecasts
49.2%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 18.59%
- If the price had not moved
- 18.63%
Better than assuming no change
58.7% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed36.5% right · 452 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed61.0% right · 177 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed69.8% right · 86 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed62.3% right · 53 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed64.1% right · 78 forecasts
SOH on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_SOH
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 1,006 forecasts
42.6%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 26.32%
- If the price had not moved
- 26.99%
Better than assuming no change
63.4% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed30.6% right · 510 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed48.0% right · 246 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed61.0% right · 141 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed59.4% right · 64 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed68.9% right · 45 forecasts