Accuracy
How often the network's forecasts for the next 24 hours turned out right, stream by stream. Every forecast is saved before the outcome is known and checked against the real price a day later. Misses stay in the record.
How to read these numbers
- Right about the direction
- The share of forecasts that correctly said whether the price would be higher or lower a day later.
- Average error
- How far the forecast was from the real price a day later, on average, as a percentage of that price. Lower is better.
- If the price had not moved
- The error you would get by simply assuming the price stays where it is.
- Landed in the network's range
- Neurons never agree exactly. The range is where the middle 80% of their forecasts fell. This is how often the real price ended up inside it.
Showing 61 to 66 of 86 · all time
OCTA on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_OCTA
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 1,005 forecasts
60.1%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 9.97%
- If the price had not moved
- 10.24%
Better than assuming no change
49.1% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed43.1% right · 246 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed60.6% right · 155 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed72.7% right · 183 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed63.7% right · 171 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed64.8% right · 250 forecasts
PLS on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_PLS
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 1,005 forecasts
53.8%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 13.49%
- If the price had not moved
- 13.61%
Better than assuming no change
50.5% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed33.7% right · 163 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed52.9% right · 172 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed60.3% right · 219 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed53.5% right · 198 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed62.1% right · 253 forecasts
PLSX on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_PLSX
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 1,005 forecasts
15.4%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 10.03%
- If the price had not moved
- 9.75%
Worse than assuming no change
72.6% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed8.6% right · 315 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed10.4% right · 211 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed24.1% right · 174 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed15.3% right · 144 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed26.1% right · 161 forecasts
POL on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_POL
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 1,005 forecasts
57.4%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 4.64%
- If the price had not moved
- 4.88%
Better than assuming no change
49.7% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed49.5% right · 95 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed53.6% right · 110 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed56.0% right · 168 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed62.4% right · 258 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed57.8% right · 374 forecasts
PRL on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_PRL
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 999 forecasts
41.8%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 10.61%
- If the price had not moved
- 10.39%
Worse than assuming no change
42.0% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed25.7% right · 183 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed35.3% right · 139 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed55.7% right · 183 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed56.7% right · 178 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed37.7% right · 316 forecasts
QMINE on SafeTradeSAFETRADE_QMINE
Open forecastAll time · checked on 43 days · 1,005 forecasts
21.8%
right about the direction
- Average error
- 9.86%
- If the price had not moved
- 9.64%
Worse than assuming no change
77.3% landed in the network's range
Was it right more often when more of the network agreed?
- 50 to 60% agreed13.7% right · 571 forecasts
- 60 to 70% agreed24.9% right · 269 forecasts
- 70 to 80% agreed56.0% right · 100 forecasts
- 80 to 90% agreed22.0% right · 41 forecasts
- Over 90% agreed37.5% right · 24 forecasts